Quick Answer: If last year's liability was £10,000 and this year's is £12,000, you owe £7,000.00 on 31 January. That is the £2,000 balancing payment for the year just ended, plus the first £5,000 payment on account for the year already running. A second £5,000 follows on 31 July.
Overview
Payments on account are the part of Self Assessment that catches people out most, because the 31 January bill is not just last year's tax. It combines two separate things: the balancing payment settling the year you have just filed, and the first instalment toward the year you are currently living through.
The result is that a first year of self-employment with a meaningful profit produces a January bill of roughly one and a half times the tax actually owed for that year. Nothing has gone wrong when this happens, but it is a common and unwelcome surprise.
Each payment on account is simply half of last year's liability, so the system assumes this year will look like last year and corrects the difference later.
How This Is Calculated
Step 1 -- Are payments on account required at all? They are not, if either of these applies:
- Last year's liability was less than £1,000, or
- More than 80% of last year's tax was already collected at source, through PAYE or bank deduction
Note the test is more than 80%. Exactly 80% still requires payments.
Step 2 -- Each payment on account is half of last year's liability:
Step 3 -- The balancing payment reconciles the year just filed against the two payments already made toward it:
This can be negative, which means a repayment is due to you.
Step 4 -- The 31 January total carries both the balancing payment for the year just ended and the first payment on account for the year now running:
Worked Example
Liability rising from £10,000 to £12,000:
- Each payment on account: £10,000 ÷ 2 = £5,000
- Two payments of £5,000 were already made toward this year's £12,000
- Balancing payment: £12,000 − £10,000 = £2,000
- Due 31 January: £2,000 + £5,000 = £7,000
- Due 31 July: £5,000
Liability falling from £10,000 to £6,000:
- Payments on account of £5,000 each, totalling £10,000, were made toward a liability of only £6,000
- Balancing payment: £6,000 − £10,000 = −£4,000, a repayment
- If you know your income has fallen, you can apply to reduce your payments on account rather than overpaying and waiting for the refund. HMRC charges interest if you reduce them too far.
A first year of self-employment with £10,000 of tax:
- No payments on account were made, because there was no prior year
- Balancing payment: the full £10,000
- Plus the first payment on account for the new year: £5,000
- £15,000 due on 31 January, against £10,000 of tax actually owed for the year
What This Does Not Account For
- Capital Gains Tax. CGT is excluded from the payment-on-account calculation and is payable in full with the balancing payment on 31 January.
- Student loan repayments, which are also excluded from payments on account and paid with the balancing payment.
- Class 2 National Insurance, likewise settled with the balancing payment rather than spread across instalments.
- Interest and penalties for late payment or for reducing payments on account below the eventual liability.
- Time to Pay arrangements, which HMRC may agree where the bill cannot be met in full.
- Payments already made, including any voluntary payments or amounts collected through your tax code.
- Computing the liability itself. This starts from figures you supply.
Common Pitfalls
- Budgeting for the balancing payment alone. The 31 January bill is the balancing payment plus the first payment on account. Setting aside only the tax owed for the year leaves you roughly 50% short.
- The first-year shock. With no prior year, there are no payments on account to credit, so the first January brings a full year's tax plus half a year again. This is the single most common Self Assessment cash-flow problem.
- Reducing payments on account too aggressively. You can apply to reduce them if income has genuinely fallen, but if the final liability turns out higher, HMRC charges interest back to the original due dates.
- Assuming the 80% test is a rounded figure. It is more than 80%. Exactly 80% still requires payments on account.
- Including Capital Gains Tax in last year's liability. CGT is excluded from the payment-on-account base. Including it inflates every future instalment.
- Forgetting the 31 July payment. It arrives with no new tax return and no reminder of the underlying calculation, six months after the January bill.
Frequently Asked Questions
Why is my January bill more than my tax for the year?
When am I exempt from payments on account?
Can I reduce my payments on account?
Does Capital Gains Tax count?
What happens if my income falls and I overpay?
Sources
- GOV.UK: "Understand your Self Assessment tax bill: payments on account" -- each payment is half the previous year's liability, due 31 January and 31 July
- GOV.UK: exemption where the previous year's liability was under £1,000, or where more than 80% of tax was deducted at source
- All rules verified on 30 August 2026 and recorded in engine/tables/2026/uk-2026-27.json